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Old Dominion

Old Dominion University · 2024 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#91
Efficiency
-1.4
71st FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-7th
of 14
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Old Dominion went 5-7 and was ranked 91st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 69th-ranked defense carried them, with a 78th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 45th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 92nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
2-2
Q4
3-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
97th
-4.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
79th
full season
79th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
98th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ South CarolinaSEC#16L 1923-20.30%15.7Q1
2vs East CarolinaAmerican Athletic#78L 1420+9.50%-15.8Q4
3vs Virginia TechACC#52L 1737-10.60%-11.3Q2
5@ Bowling GreenMid-American#72W 3027-2.9100%4.3Q3
6@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#96L 3745+3.90%-15.8Q4
7@ Georgia StateSun Belt#120W 2114+8.3100%-2.4Q4
8vs Texas StateSun Belt#63W 2414-1.4100%9.7Q3
9vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#62W 4719+4.0100%27.2Q4
10@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#97L 2028+7.50%-17.6Q4
12vs James MadisonSun Belt#54L 3235-0.50%-4.6Q3
13vs MarshallSun Belt#37L 3542-2.90%-4.4Q3
14@ Arkansas StateSun Belt#79W 4032+8.8100%-2.7Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Old Dominion, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-14.0+4.8+23.616-16-114-16-21027-18-5-4-3Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 92nd
SR 107thYPP 105thEPA 74th
RushingEff 45th
SR 62ndYPP 28thEPA 46th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 83rd
SR 52ndYPP 101stEPA 92nd
Rush defenseEff 61st
SR 37thYPP 78thEPA 66th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo +6.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 77th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 37%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 80.0Q1 · Allowed: 69.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 99.0Q2 · Allowed: 72.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 90.0Q3 · Allowed: 92.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 72.0Q4 · Allowed: 96.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOld DominionOffenseDefense
Old Dominion Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 78th
-1.8
Field position: -1.5Finishing drives: -0.2
Field position -1.5Finishing drives -0.2= -1.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 115th · Finishing 71st

Defensive EffRanked 69th
-0.1
Field position: -0.1Finishing drives: +0.0
Field position -0.1Finishing drives +0.0= -0.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 75th · Finishing 69th

2.27 points per drive on offense, 2.14 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(181)46% / 54%45%6.9
Q2(209)47% / 53%38%6.4
Q3(182)43% / 57%45%6.5
Q4(214)43% / 57%47%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(122)10.139%7.3
2nd(122)8.739%5.9
3rd(105)8.037%4.8
4th(5)6.680%8.6
All (354)39%6.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(223)9.648%6.5
2nd(137)7.340%5.6
3rd(66)5.858%7.3
4th(6)2.250%6.5
All (432)47%6.3

Old Dominion, all games.

Old Dominion Football 2024 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ